‘Trump Is Cooked’: How Trump’s Russia Policy Is Splintering Republicans Ahead of the Midterms

With the November 3 midterms fast approaching, President Donald Trump’s handling of the war in Ukraine—including the recent diesel deal with Moscow, sanctions waivers, and restrictions on military aid—has triggered a fierce rift within the Republican Party. While over 50% of Republican base voters back the administration’s moves, polling shows 71% of crucial independent voters strongly oppose them. Meanwhile, Capitol Hill is facing open pushback from Republican senators and representatives, and Democrats are already preparing aggressive congressional investigations if they flip control of Congress. In this detailed analysis, we break down the shifting MAGA momentum, the political fallout of the Russia-Ukraine policy pivot, and what it all means for the upcoming midterms.