The key global economic risks to watch in the second half of 2026

Economists are warning that the second half of 2026 could be fraught with significant economic risks, including geopolitical tensions, especially the delicate truce between the US and Iran. These risks are amplified by recent global events like war, an oil price shock, and the booming AI trade sector. The stability of this peace is seen as crucial to preventing further economic disruptions, highlighting the interconnectedness of global affairs and their impact on the world economy. This underscores the importance of monitoring these factors closely to navigate potential economic challenges ahead.