Steelers vs. Bengals Sunday Night Football Week 10 Top Picks

Sep 27, 2026; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (8) throws the ball against the Cincinnati Bengals during the second half at Acrisure Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Barry Reeger-Imagn Images The Cincinnati Bengals will host the Pittsburgh Steelers in a crucial AFC North matchup on Sunday Night Football. These teams are currently tied atop the AFC North with 6-2 records through eight games.This game is arguably the most important AFC North matchup so far this season. One of these teams will take sole possession of the division lead, controlling their own destiny throughout the rest of the season.These are the types of games that generally play tough, similar to playoff football. It’s also a matchup we could potentially see later on in the playoffs, as both teams look primed to make the postseason.Cincinnati is a team that relies heavily on its offense to produce points, while its defense takes a back seat. Pittsburgh is the opposite, relying more on its defense to limit opponents, while its offense is secondary.The Bengals aren’t an overly versatile offense, though. They’ve consistently struggled to run the ball throughout the season, and they rely heavily on Joe Burrow and company. Overall, they lead the NFL in EPA per pass (0.23) this season.Pittsburgh’s defense has found plenty of success against the pass, though.They’re only allowing 6.9 yards per pass attempt, limiting opponents to 221.8 passing yards per game. They also rank eighth in the NFL in defensive EPA per pass (-0.11) this season.The big key to this game is how Pittsburgh wants to run their offense. They haven’t found a ton of success throwing the ball this season, but they have looked great when leaning on their running backs. Jaylen Warren and Rico Dowdle are healthy, and Pittsburgh quietly ranks fourth in the league in EPA per rush (0.04) in 2026.On the other side, Cincinnati hasn’t performed well against the run this season. They’re giving up a league-high 5.0 yards per carry to go along with 126.6 rushing yards per game. They also rank 27th in defensive EPA per rush (-0.01).The Steelers should be able to run the ball, control the clock, and keep the ball out of Burrow’s hands. I don’t necessarily believe they should be favorited on the road in this divisional matchup, but it’s likely to play close throughout. I’ll take the points with Pittsburgh here.Where to Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 spread | -1102026 NFL Season Betting Record: 12-16 Our Current Best OffersChannel debug: betting