In the week's first coupon auciton (we have an accelerated schedule due to Veteran's Day when cash bonds are shut for trading), the Treasury sold $58BN in 3 Year paper in what was a mediocre sale.The high yield of 4.627% was below last month's 4.932% (the second highest this decade), but unlike the October auction which stopped through, today's sale tailed the When Issued 4.622% by 0.5bps, the biggest tail since May. The bid to cover was ugly, sliding to 2.528 from last month's 2.616 and the lowest since August 2025. The internals were just as ugly: Indirects slumped to 55.5% from 57.6%, also the lowest since August 2025. And with Directs taking a record 35.04%...... Dealers were left with just 9.5%, one of the lowest on record.Overall, this was a clearly subpar auction, where the slide in bid to cover and foreign demand, suggested that demand for short-end paper has gotten notably more challenging than in recent months.
Record Directs Save Ugly 3Y Auction, As Slide In Foreign Demand Leads To Biggest Tail Since May
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