Rays vs. Brewers prediction, odds, time: 2026 World Series Game 1 picks by proven model for Friday, Oct. 23

This page may contain affiliate links. If you click a link and sign up, make a deposit, place a wager, or make a trade, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. SportsLine's model simulated Friday's Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers World Series Game 1 matchup 10,000 times Oct 21, 2026 at 8:55 am ET • 3 min read The American League champion Tampa Bay Rays battle the National League champion Milwaukee Brewers for Game 1 of the 2026 World Series on Friday, Oct. 23. Tampa Bay outlasted the Cleveland Guardians in six games, while Milwaukee swept the two-time defending World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers to advance. The Rays (98-64), who had the best record in the American League, are 46-39 on the road, including the postseason. The Brewers (103-59), who had baseball's best record, are 59-26 on their home field in 2026. Milwaukee won two of three meetings with Tampa Bay during the regular season. Neither team has confirmed pitching plans, but right-hander Drew Rasmussen (16-5, 2.67 ERA) is the expected Game 1 starter for the Rays, while the Brewers are expected to counter with right-hander Jacob Misiorowski (16-5, 1.80 ERA). Visit our Kalshi promo code review and get a $55 trading bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55:First pitch for Game 1 from American Family Field in Milwaukee is set for 8 p.m. ET. Milwaukee is a -162 favorite on the money line (risk $162 to win $100), while Tampa Bay is at +134 in the latest Rays vs. Brewers odds. The over/under is 6. Before making any Rays vs. Brewers picks, be sure to see the Rays vs. Brewers predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model. SportsLine's model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and enters the 2026 World Series on a 32-25 run on all top-rated MLB money-line picks at betting sites, returning more than $1,000 for $100 players. Anyone following its picks at MLB betting sites could have seen strong returns. Now, the model has set its sights on Rays vs. Brewers and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Brewers vs. Rays:Rays vs. Brewers money lineBrewers -159, Rays +136Rays vs. Brewers over/under6 runsRays vs. Brewers run line Brewers -1.5 (+153) Rays vs. Brewers picksSee picks at SportsLineRays vs. Brewers streaming Fubo (Try for free) Claim the latest Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS to get a $25 bonus after $10 deposit:Top Rays vs. Brewers predictions After 10,000 simulations of Rays vs. Brewers, the model is going Over 6 combined runs for over/under betting. Despite facing each other's aces, both teams have found ways to score this postseason and that trend should continue. The Over hit in each of the last two head-to-head meetings. It is also 5-4-1 over Tampa Bay's last 10 games, and is 3-0 over Milwaukee's last three games. The Over is also 19-13-1 when Drew Rasmussen starts for the Rays. It is also 18-13-3 in Tampa Bay games where the line is lower than 7.0.The model projects three Rays players to have 1.4 or more total bases, including Yandy Diaz, Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero. The model also says two Brewers players will have 1.2 ormore total bases, including Jackson Chourio and Brice Turang.The model projects 8.1 combined runs, making the Over the value side in 68% of simulations. Get the Rays vs. Brewers money-line pick at SportsLine.How to make Rays vs. Brewers picksAfter simulating every pitch of Rays vs. Brewers 10,000 times, the model also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can get that pick at SportsLine. So who wins Rays vs. Brewers, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.