Premier League top scorer odds 2026/27: Predictions and tips as Haaland eyes a fourth Golden Boot

THE Premier League top scorer odds always capture the attention of UK punters, with the race for the Golden Boot easily one of the most popular individual betting markets in football. It will come as little surprise to you that Erling Haaland clinched last season’s award with 27 goals for his third top goalscorer trophy, leaving the lethal striker one behind the all-time record of four shared by Thierry Henry and Mohamed Salah. But could this year’s Golden Boot contenders pose a little more threat to Haaland? Liverpool’s Alexander Isak is his chief rival, with many backing the Swede to finally deliver on his British-record transfer fee of £125million following an underwhelming start to life at Anfield. There doesn’t appear to be an obvious new signing ready to gatecrash the leading contenders just yet, although there is still time for a late arrival to change the picture before the transfer window closes on September 1. Quick tips for the 2026/27 Premier League top scorer Victor Gyokeres EW – 22/1 with Betway Joao Pedro to be Chelsea’s top goalscorer – 11/10 with bet365 Ollie Watkins for the Golden Boot – 20/1 EW with bet365 Latest Premier League top scorer odds Below are the latest 2026/27 Premier League top scorer odds from three operators. The main contenders Here’s a quick rundown of the leading runners and riders in the Premier League top scorer market, with a closer look at their chances of claiming the Golden Boot. Erling Haaland (Manchester City) Manchester City star Erling Haaland finds himself at the top of the pile again. The Norwegian talisman, 26, is defending his Golden Boot after claiming it with 27 goals last season. Haaland has won three of the last four top goalscorer awards, missing out in 2024/25 to Mohamed Salah, who is no longer in the Premier League after joining Trabzonspor. He also struck seven times at the World Cup, with only Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe scoring more, despite Haaland playing three fewer matches than both. There may have been a changing of the guard at the Etihad with Enzo Maresca replacing Pep Guardiola, but it’s difficult to see that stopping Haaland. He’s scored 112 goals in 132 Premier League appearances and averages 28 goals a season. His lowest haul was 22 in 2024/25, but only three current Premier League players have scored 22 or more in the last five seasons. It’s short, but even Haaland’s worst return would give him a serious chance of another Golden Boot. ⚽ Back Erling Haaland to win another Premier League Golden Boot at 4/6 with bet365 ⚽ Alexander Isak (Liverpool) One of those current players who has managed to score 22 goals or more in the Premier League is Liverpool striker Alexander Isak. He managed it in 2024/25 with Newcastle, earning him a mega-money move to Anfield. Injuries limited the Swede to 14 top-flight appearances and just three goals. But with his fitness issues now seemingly resolved and two goals at the 2026 World Cup, there’s hope that Isak can kick on under Andoni Iraola, a manager known for getting the best out of his players. He has shown before that he can be one of the most prolific forwards in the Premier League, with a record of 57 goals in exactly 100 appearances. But 8/1 isn’t appealing enough given the number of unknowns. Victor Gyokeres (Arsenal) Arsenal star Victor Gyokeres represents real value at 22/1 in my book. The Swede was judged pretty harshly during his debut campaign, but a return of 14 goals in 36 Premier League appearances shouldn’t be sniffed at. Only six players scored more league goals than the 28-year-old, who also finished as Arsenal’s top scorer in their title-winning season. At Coventry, he followed 18 goals in his first season with 22 in his second. It was the same story at Sporting Lisbon, where a 43-goal haul was followed by 54 goals. I think we could see another big jump in his second season at Arsenal, especially now he’s adapted to the pace and physicality of the division and has Bruno Guimaraes and Christos Tzolis alongside him, with the pair producing 37 assists between them last season. ⚽ Bet on Victor Gyokeres to win the Premier League Golden Boot at 22/1 with Betway ⚽ Antoine Semenyo (Manchester City) I’ve seen quite a few people tipping Manchester City star Antoine Semenyo for the Golden Boot at bigger prices, but it’s not one I would consider at 25/1 with bet365. The former Bournemouth star started like a train at the Etihad in January, scoring seven league goals in 17 appearances. He should improve further after a full pre-season, but previous returns of 8, 11, 10 and seven league goals aren’t hugely inspiring. There’s also the fact that Enzo Maresca likes his wingers to stay wide and hug the touchline, making the assists markets far more appealing. He’s already provided four assists in three pre-season outings. Joao Pedro (Chelsea) I’m torn. There’s plenty to like about Chelsea striker Joao Pedro, who enjoyed a full summer off after being snubbed by Brazil for the World Cup. The 24-year-old grabbed 15 league goals last season, plundering eight of those in eight games between January and March. That streakiness is both a positive and a negative. We know he can fill his boots at any point, but there will be stretches of few returns. He’s a certain starter at Stamford Bridge with no real competition for his role, and there’s more than enough creativity in Chelsea’s ranks with Cole Palmer and Morgan Rogers to line up either side of him. There’s also the bonus of no European football to contend with, lessening his workload and giving him plenty of time to work with attack-minded Xabi Alonso on the training pitch. That relationship has clearly started well, with Pedro netting seven times in five pre-season outings. ⚽ Back Joao Pedro to be the Premier League’s top scorer at 14/1 with Betfred ⚽ Ollie Watkins, Igor Thiago & Bryan Mbeumo These three sit firmly in the “best of the rest” category and could be worth a look at bigger prices. Ollie Watkins will always provide value for money. He’s been remarkably consistent, scoring between 11 and 19 goals in each of his six Premier League campaigns. That’s usually good enough for each-way money. Bryan Mbeumo isn’t of much interest given that Manchester United will share the goals around, while he’s broken the 20-goal barrier just once in five seasons. Igor Thiago is probably another swerve. I think he’ll score plenty of goals in a Brentford side that should go well, but 12/1 is just too short. He scored 22 last season, but eight came from the penalty spot, and I’m not convinced lightning will strike twice. New signings to watch The summer transfer window has also thrown a few new names into the mix, while others have swapped allegiances. Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) Morgan Rogers arrives at Chelsea for £117m from Aston Villa as the record fee for a British player, having been named the Europa League’s Best Player last season. No doubt he’ll make an impact but 21 goals in 85 Premier League appearances doesn’t scream Golden Boot winner. Christos Tzolis (Arsenal) Again, a solid recruit. Christos Tzolis arrives from Club Brugge after an excellent season in Belgium, where he produced 17 goals and 23 assists. But the Greek international is a winger, a rotation risk and his main assignment will be creating chances for centre-forward Gyokeres. Remember, he’s 14/1 for most assists and that’s my play. Emmanuel Emegha (Chelsea) Emmanuel Emegha is a low-key arrival from Strasbourg, but he could be an interesting outsider if he can force his way into the Chelsea side. He arrives to provide competition for Joao Pedro, but it’s unlikely he’ll challenge Haaland and co. from cameos off the bench. Most Premier League Golden Boots: the all-time list Here’s a quick look at the players who have won the Golden Boot most often. Haaland is already level with Alan Shearer and Harry Kane on three, and another win would put him alongside Thierry Henry and Mohamed Salah at the top. PlayerGolden BootsMost recentThierry Henry42005/06Mohamed Salah42024/25Alan Shearer31996/97Harry Kane32020/21Erling Haaland32025/26 My Premier League top scorer betting tips The outright market is dominated by the usual suspects, but there are other ways to attack the goalscorer markets than simply picking Erling Haaland outright. I’ve picked out three each-way plays, plus a couple of alternative markets where I think the odds offer more appeal. Each-way value picks Victor Gyokeres is my standout each-way pick. He scored 14 Premier League goals in his first season at Arsenal and has a history of improving significantly in his second year at a club. Now settled and with an abundance of creativity around him, the Swede should go well. ➡️ Back Victor Gyokeres EW at 22/1 with Betway Mr Reliable. I’m also selecting Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins for the Golden Boot. The England international is always in the frame for top goalscorer, having scored 15, 19, 16 and 16 in his last four campaigns. He should provide value for money. ➡️ Get Ollie Watkins at 20/1 EW with bet365 for the Golden Boot Leeds United’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin really settled into life at Elland Road. He netted 14 goals in his debut season and looks to have overcome his obvious fitness issues. He’s the designated penalty taker in a side looking to secure a top-10 finish and could outperform odds of 50/1. ➡️ Take a chance on Dominic Calvert-Lewin EW at 50/1 with Betfred Player goals total I’m also happy to back Gyokeres to improve on last season’s 14-goal haul. He has already shown that his scoring numbers tend to jump after his first season at a new club, and another year in the Premier League should only help. Getting 15 or more at 11/10 looks a safer way to back the Arsenal striker than relying on him to win the Golden Boot outright. ➡️ Get Victor Gyokeres to score 15 goals or more at 11/10 with bet365 Team top goalscorer Joao Pedro is my pick in the top team goalscorer market, and I really like the look of this one. He scored 15 league goals last season in a Chelsea side that finished 10th. Another season with no European commitments and plenty of creativity behind him should give him every chance of leading the way. Cole Palmer is the obvious threat, but he’s gone off the boil in front of goal since his brilliant debut season for Chelsea. ➡️ Get Joao Pedro to be Chelsea’s top goalscorer at 11/10 with bet365 How the market moves through the season Top goalscorer odds can move quickly during the season because so much depends on the individual rather than the team. An injury can knock a striker’s price out almost immediately, while a hot streak can see it tumble after just a few games. Isak’s first season at Liverpool showed how quickly things can change. The Swede started the season as a short-priced contender to challenge Erling Haaland, but injuries left him with a paltry three goals to show for it – half the return of Virgil van Dijk. How to follow the latest Premier League news and results Keeping on top of team news, injuries and starting XIs is even more important when betting on an individual player. A striker being dropped or missing through injury can completely change their chances of winning the Golden Boot, so keep checking the latest news and reassess your bets as the season develops. Premier League 2026/27 top scorer FAQs 1. Who won last season’s Premier League Golden Boot, and how many goals? Erling Haaland won the 2025/26 Golden Boot with 27 goals. 2. What’s the record for most goals in a single Premier League season? The record is 36 goals, set by Erling Haaland in 2022/23. 3. How do injuries affect top scorer odds? Injuries can cause a player’s odds to drift quickly because every missed game reduces their chances of scoring enough goals to win the market. 4. Has a player from outside the traditional “big six” ever won the Golden Boot? Yes. Jamie Vardy won it with Leicester City in 2019/20, while Kevin Phillips previously claimed the award with Sunderland after scoring 30 goals in 1999/00. Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink also won it with Leeds United, while Alan Shearer, Chris Sutton and Dion Dublin have all claimed the award with Blackburn Rovers, Coventry City or Newcastle United. About the author Craig Mahood Craig Mahood is an expert in sports betting and online casinos and has worked with the company since 2020. He joined the Betting & Gaming team at The Sun in June 2022 and works closely with the leading bookmakers and online gaming companies to provide content on all areas of sports betting and gaming. He previously worked as a Digital Sports Reporter at the Scottish Sun, covering Scottish football with particular focus on Celtic and Rangers, As well as football, he has covered horse racing, boxing, darts, the Olympics and tennis for the Sun. 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