Polls vs prediction markets: Contrasting perspectives on the governor’s race

Two Republicans lead polling in the California gubernatorial race, but major prediction markets like Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt and ForecastEx all say it’s Congressman Eric Swalwell's race to lose. Why are their predictions so different? Which is more likely to be correct? Might prediction markets and the wisdom of the crowds threaten pollsters who have taken a beating in recent elections?Continue reading the full article: Capitol WeeklyOriginal article: https://capitolweekly.net/polls-vs-pre...