Phillies vs. Marlins odds, prediction, time: 2026 MLB picks for Tuesday, July 28 by proven model

SportsLine's model simulated the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins 10,000 times and revealed its MLB picks for Tuesday's matchup Jul 28, 2026 at 7:41 am ET • 2 min read Imagn Images A pair of NL East rivals will square off on Tuesday's MLB schedule as the Philadelphia Phillies visit the Miami Marlins. This is the second of a three-game set, with Miami (53-54) ending a 12-game losing streak with an 8-7 walk-off win on Monday. Philly (57-50) has now dropped to 3-7 since the All-Star break, including five losses over its last six games. Aaron Nola (3-8, 5.82 ERA) will start for the Phillies, countered by 2022 NL Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara (10-6, 4.01 ERA).First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET from loanDepot park in Miami. Philly is 5-3 versus Miami this season. The Marlins are -114 favorites on the money line (risk $114 to win $100) in the latest Marlins vs. Phillies odds, with the Phillies at -105. The over/under for total runs is 8. Before making any Phillies vs. Marlins picks, or MLB predictions, be sure to see the Marlins vs. Phillies predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model. Visit our DraftKings promo code review to see their latest offers and get started.The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and entered Week 19 of the MLB season on a sizzling 39-23 run on all top-rated MLB picks. It also excelled at making home run prop picks in 2025, returning nearly 30 units of profit. Anyone following its MLB betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns. Now, the model has set its sights on Marlins vs. Phillies and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Phillies vs. Marlins: Marlins vs. Phillies money lineMarlins -114, Phillies -105Marlins vs. Phillies over/under8 runsMarlins vs. Phillies run line Phillies -1.5 (+154)Marlins vs. Phillies picksSee picks at SportsLineMarlins vs. Phillies streaming Fubo (Try for free) New to sports trading? Visit our Kalshi promo code review to see their latest offers and get started. Top Phillies vs. Marlins predictions After 10,000 simulations of Marlins vs. Phillies, the model is going Over 8 combined runs for over/under betting. Each of the last three meetings between these teams have seen double-digit runs scored, with those three averaging 13.7 total runs. Overall this season, the Over is 5-3 across their eight matchups, and the starting pitchers indicate this should be a high-scoring affair.The Over has hit in 59% of Alcantara's starts and 57% of Nola's starts. Both pitchers have been battered by the opposing lineups as Alcantara has allowed an .820 OPS to current Phillies batters, with the pitcher also coming off one of his worst starts of the year in allowing 5 ER last Wednesday. As for Nola, he's allowed a .300 batting average to Marlins batters, and no pitcher in the Senior Circuit has allowed more home runs (25) this season. The model projects the teams to combine for 9.7 total runs. Get the Marlins vs. Phillies money-line pick at SportsLine.How to make Marlins vs. Phillies picksAfter simulating every pitch of Marlins vs. Phillies 10,000 times, the model also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can get that pick at SportsLine. So who wins Phillies vs. Marlins, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.