Most intriguing CFB predictions for Texas, Baylor & Texas A&M in Week 1

Texas A&M quarterback Marcel Reed (10) drops back to pass against Arkansas during the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Oct. 18, 2025, in Fayetteville, Ark.(AP Photo/Michael Woods)By Matt Boecker | Advance LocalThe Kalshi promo code ALCOM is your key to a $25 bonus following a $25 trade on Week 1 of the college football season. The action starts on Thursday night with an 11-game slate, but those looking to predict Texas schools have their sights set on the weekend.Saturday’s slate of games features the Lone Star State’s top programs. The 2:30 p.m. window includes Texas State vs. No. 5 Texas and Baylor vs. Auburn, then it’s Missouri State vs. No. 8 Texas A&M at 6 p.m. CT.Customers in Texas and 40+ other states can sign up with Kalshi to take positions on moneylines, spreads, totals, player props and other unique markets. Let’s take a look at some of the most intriguing CFB predictions for Week 1.Texas State Bobcats vs. Texas Longhorns: Over 59.5 pointsMarketYes priceNo priceTexas moneyline98%2%Texas State moneyline2%98%Texas to win by over 30.5 points49%52%Over 59.5 points scored51%50%The college football prediction markets at Kalshi are expecting Texas to win with ease. The Longhorns are trading at 98% in the game winner market, and the Bobcats are catching 30.5 points with the spread.Texas QB Arch Manning had a slow start to the 2025 season, but he finally settled in as the year rolled on. Manning finished with 3,163 yards, 26 touchdowns and seven interceptions, and he only threw two picks in the final eight games.Manning’s favorite target, WR Ryan Wingo, is back for another year, and head coach Steve Sarkisian bolstered the offense by adding former Auburn WR Cam Coleman and former NC State RB Hollywood Smothers in the transfer portal. The Longhorns should produce enough scoring to hit the over, and it’ll be up to Texas State’s offense to do their part. The Bobcats ranked fifth nationally in yards per game (472.8) and 12th in average scoring (36.5) in 2025. Texas has a date with No. 1 Ohio State in Week 2, and Sarkisian may opt to pull the starters early if the Longhorns go up big in the first half. If the Bobcats can put up points in garbage time, the 60-point mark will be within reach.Auburn Tigers (-7.5) vs. Baylor BearsMarketYes priceNo priceAuburn moneyline71%29%Baylor moneyline29%71%Auburn to win by over 7.5 points47%54%Over 58.5 points scored51%50%Auburn opened the 2025 season with a 38-24 victory at Baylor. Former Tigers QB Jackson Arnold only completed 11 passes for 108 yards, but he led all ball carriers with 137 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns.Arnold has since transferred to UNLV, but Auburn has landed another mobile QB in Byrum Brown. The Tigers are also starting a new era with former USF head coach Alex Golesh, who brought Brown and other South Florida standouts to Auburn. Golesh led the Bulls to a 9-4 record in 2025, and the offense scored 40.5 points per game.Meanwhile, head coach Dave Aranda has posted five wins or fewer in two of the past three seasons at Baylor. The Bears are relying on a resurgent season from former Florida QB DJ Lagway, but his turnover issues may persist in the season opener.Missouri State Bears vs. Texas A&M Aggies (-41.5)MarketYes priceNo priceTexas A&M moneyline98%2%Missouri State moneyline2%98%Texas A&M to win by over 41.5 points45%55%Over 52.5 points scored53%48%Texas A&M is listed as a 41.5-point favorite on the Kalshi app, which ranks among the largest Week 1 spreads. The Aggies lost a lot of talent from a 2025 squad that won 11 games and punched a ticket to the College Football Playoff. Fifteen starters left the program, including 10 players who were selected in the NFL Draft.However, head coach Mike Elko reloaded with the 12th-best transfer portal class in the nation, per 247Sports. Former Alabama WR Isaiah Horton was a key addition, as his 6-foot-4 frame provides a big target for QB Marcel Reed.Reed is a Heisman hopeful after passing for 3,169 yards, rushing for 493 yards and scoring 31 total touchdowns in 2025. Reed and company should have no issues lighting up the scoreboard against a Missouri State defense that surrendered 73 points against USC in Week 1 last season. However, covering 41.5 points is a big ask when the Aggies starters are unlikely to play all four quarters.How Kalshi works for CFB predictionsKalshi may seem similar to a sportsbook, but it’s actually a federally-regulated trading platform. Customers buy and sell binary contracts based on event outcomes in sports and other categories. All Kalshi contracts vary in price from $0.01 to $0.99. Trading options priced above $0.50 are favorites, while positions below $0.50 are underdogs. If you place a prediction and win, each contract settles at $1. To calculate a payout, simply subtract the share price from $1.The contract prices at Kalshi also represent the implied probability of each option within a market. For example, Texas A&M’s game winner contracts are trading at $0.98, meaning the Aggies have a 98% chance of beating Missouri State. Our in-depth Kalshi promo code review breaks down everything you need to know about contract trading.If you’re ready to sign up and predict Week 1 of the college football season, claim the Kalshi referral code ALCOM and trade $25 to score a $25 bonus.NOTE: Event contract trading involves risk of substantial loss and is not suitable for all investors. 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