Lula and Bolsonaro statistically tied in potential Brazil runoff, polls suggest

Bolsonaro leads Lula by one percentage point in a Quaest poll, while Lula is ahead by one point in a separate BTG Pactual/Nexus poll. They remain statistically tied since the advantages are within the margin of error.QUAEST POLLBolsonaro, son of the former President Jair Bolsonaro, would receive 42% of voter support in a potential runoff, against 41% for Lula, a Quaest poll showed late afternoon.The previous Quaest poll, released on September 14, showed Bolsonaro at 42% and Lula at 40%.If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25.In a first-round scenario, Quaest had Lula leading with 37% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro (33%), Cury (6%) and Caiado (4%).Last week, the poll showed Lula at 36% and Bolsonaro at 31% in the first round.Quaest surveyed 2,004 people from September 17 to 20; the margin of error is 2 percentage points.BTG PACTUAL/NEXUS POLLLula would receive 46% of voter support, compared with 45% for Bolsonaro in a potential runoff, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed earlier in the day.A September 14 survey had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 47% to 46%.In a first-round scenario, Lula would lead with 40% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro (37%), Augusto Cury (6%) and Ronaldo Caiado (5%).The previous first-round survey had Lula at 42% and Bolsonaro at 37%.Nexus surveyed 2,006 people from September 18 to 20. The poll also has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.(Reporting by Rodrigo Viga Gaier in Rio de Janeiro, Michael Susin in Barcelona and Gabriel Araujo and Andre Romani in Sao Paulo; Editing by Isabel Teles)