Homicides in México state log sharp rise while other states register continued decline: Tuesday’s mañanera recapped

Sheinbaum’s mañanera in 60 seconds 📉 Homicides down 50% from AMLO’s final month: National Public Security System chief Marcela Figueroa reported an average of 43.4 homicides per day in October, compared to 86.9 in September 2024. It was the lowest daily rate for any October in 12 years. Homicides fell 22.9% from October 2025 and 54.5% from October 2020. 🚨 México state tops homicide rankings after sharp revision: The state recorded 1,564 homicides in the first 10 months of 2026, or 10.6% of the national total. That is up from 818 at the end of September, but only 160 homicides were recorded in October, according to preliminary data, meaning totals from earlier months were revised upward. Officials didn’t comment on the increase. 🇲🇽 Seven states account for over half of homicides: Guanajuato (1,213), Baja California (1,203), Sinaloa (1,156), Chihuahua (1,103), Guerrero (804) and Morelos (723) followed México state for total homicides in the first 10 months of 2026. The seven states accounted for 52.5% of the 14,799 homicides nationwide. 📊 Homicides decline in every state: Compared to January-October 2025, homicides fell 77% in San Luis Potosí, the largest reduction. Nayarit, Quintana Roo, Baja California Sur and Nuevo León recorded declines of more than 50%. 🚔 74,033 arrests for high-impact crimes since October 2024: Security Minister Omar García Harfuch said authorities also seized 37,625 firearms and 588.6 tonnes of drugs, and dismantled 2,841 clandestine drug labs. 🙌 “There’s no one like them anywhere in the world”: Sheinbaum praised her security cabinet and asked which country of Mexico’s size and population, facing similar organized crime problems, has cut homicides in half in two years. “[There are] none,” she said. Why today’s mañanera matters Federal officials presented the government’s monthly security report at President Sheinbaum’s Tuesday morning press conference. The most striking statistic was that México state — a state that includes many municipalities in the metropolitan area of Mexico City — recorded 1,564 homicides in the first 10 months of 2026. What makes the figure remarkable is that it is 91.2% higher than the homicide total the government reported for México state in the first nine months of the year. National Public Security System chief Marcela Figueroa reported on Tuesday that there was an average of 43.4 homicides per day in October, a decline of 50% compared to September 2024, the final month of Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s six-year term as president. (Juan Carlos Ramos/Presidencia) On Tuesday morning, officials didn’t comment on the dramatic increase that catapulted México state to the top of Mexico’s homicide rankings. However, it would appear that homicides have been significantly undercounted in the state this year and that a correction was recently made. The homicide data reported by the federal government on a monthly basis is compiled from statistics it receives from Attorney General’s Offices in Mexico’s 32 federal entities. The data presented today shows that about one in ten homicides in Mexico so far this year was perpetrated in México state. Another striking statistic from today’s mañanera is that more than 74,000 people have been arrested for allegedly committing high-impact crimes since Sheinbaum took office on Oct. 1, 2024. In other words, there was an average of 97 arrests per day for high-impact crimes between the start of October 2024 and the end of last month. Homicides declined 50% in October compared to last month of AMLO’s presidency National Public Security System chief Marcela Figueroa reported that there was an average of 43.4 homicides per day in October, a decline of 50% compared to September 2024, the final month of Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s six-year term as president. She highlighted that there was an average of 43 fewer homicides per day in October than in September 2024, when the daily average was 86.9. Lowest October homicide rate in more than a decade Figueroa presented a graph that showed that the daily homicide rate last month was the lowest of any October in the past 12 years. Compared to October 2025, homicides declined 22.9% last month. Compared to October 2020, when there was an average of 95.4 homicides per day, the reduction last month was 54.5%. México state recorded the highest number of homicides between January and October Figueroa reported that 52.5% of all homicides in Mexico in the first 10 months of 2026 were committed in just seven states. She said that México state — Mexico’s most populous state — recorded the highest number of homicides among the country’s 32 federal entities. Data presented by Figueroa showed that there were 1,564 homicides in México state between January and October, a figure that represents 10.6% of the national total. México state’s homicide count increased from 818 at the end of September to 1,564 at the end of October, an increase of 746 in the space of a single month. Figueroa didn’t comment on the sharp increase. There were only 160 homicides in México state in October, according to preliminary data. The increase therefore reflects upward revisions to homicide totals in México state in earlier months this year, in addition to homicides reported in October. In any case, México state now leads the country for homicides in 2026. According to data Figueroa presented on October 13, México state had the fifth-highest homicide count in the first nine months of 2026, behind Baja California, Guanajuato, Chihuahua and Sinaloa. In the first 10 months of 2026, Guanajuato recorded the second-highest number of homicides, with 1,213, according to the latest data. That figure represents 8.2% of the 14,799 homicides reported in Mexico in the period. The five states that recorded the next highest homicide counts in the first 10 months of 2026 were: Baja California: 1,203 (8.1% of the national total) Sinaloa: 1,156 (7.8%) Chihuahua: 1,103 (7.5%) Guerrero: 804 (5.4%) Morelos: 723 (4.9%) Oaxaca, Michoacán and Jalisco ranked eighth, ninth and tenth, respectively, for total homicides in the first ten months of 2026. Mexico City ranked 12th with 635 homicides. Yucatán recorded the lowest number of homicides among Mexico’s 32 federal entities, with just 22 between January and October. Homicides declined in every state in the first 10 months of 2026 Figueroa reported that homicides declined in every federal entity in the first 10 months of the year. Compared to the January-October period of last year, homicides fell 77% in San Luis Potosí, the largest reduction of any state. Four other states recorded year-over-year declines in homicides of more than 50%. They were: Nayarit: 71.8% Quintana Roo: 57.7% Baja California Sur: 54.1% Nuevo León: 50.1% Five other states recorded year-over-year declines of more than 40%. They were: Zacatecas: 48.8% Aguascalientes: 46.3% Guanajuato: 45.6% Sonora: 42.7% Michoacán: 40.5% Sheinbaum said last week that 72.43 billion pesos has already been spent on Plan Michoacán for Peace and Justice, representing 61% of the total projected cost. (Galo Cañas/Cuartoscuro) Figueroa highlighted that homicides in Michoacán have declined since the implementation in November 2025 of Plan Michoacán for Peace and Justice, an initiative devised in response to the assassination of Uruapan Mayor Carlos Manzo on Nov. 1, 2025, and general insecurity in the state. Over 74,000 arrests since Sheinbaum took office Security Minister Omar García Harfuch reported that 74,033 people were arrested for allegedly committing high-impact crimes between Oct. 1, 2024 and Oct. 31, 2026. Among the offenses classified as high-impact crimes are murder, kidnapping, violent robbery, rape and extortion. According to the information presented by García Harfuch, authorities seized 37,625 firearms and 588.6 tonnes of drugs between Oct. 1, 2024, and Oct. 31, 2026. In addition, authorities dismantled 2,841 clandestine drug laboratories in the same period. García Harfuch said that 34 people have been arrested in connection with the “planning, execution and cover-up” of the assassination of Carlos Manzo. Among those detained are Ramón Ángel Álvarez Ayala, identified as the mastermind behind the crime, and his brother Rafael Álvarez Ayala, who was arrested in Guadalajara last Sunday after a shootout with Mexican Navy personnel. CJNG operator ‘R2’ and 19 others arrested following shootout with Mexican Navy in Guadalajara The two brothers, known as “R1” and “R2,” are allegedly leaders of the “Los Rs” faction of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel. ‘There’s no one like them anywhere in the world’: Sheinbaum praises security officials Sheinbaum told reporters that she is “extremely grateful to the security cabinet I chose.” “There’s no one like them anywhere in the world,” she said, referring to officials such as García Harfuch, Defense Minister Ricardo Trevilla Trejo, Navy Minister Raymundo Pedro Morales Ángeles and Interior Minister Rosa Icela Rodríguez. “… Tell me a country … of Mexico’s size and population, with problems such as those of Mexico in terms of organized crime, that has reduced homicides by half in two years,” Sheinbaum said. “[There are] none,” she asserted.