Greens to win zero MPs in London as Labour gets 'Burnham bounce', says mega poll

Greens to win zero MPs in London as Labour gets 'Burnham bounce', says mega poll

Labour would be the largest party in a hung Parliament, if an election was held tomorrow, winning 241 seats, it found.But this would be significantly better than at the time of YouGov’s last MRP poll a year ago when Labour was set to be left with just 144 seats.How London’s political map would look if an election was held tomorrow, according to a YouGov MRP pollYouGovBut the new poll had the Green Party gaining no MPs in the capital.However, Tanya Abraham, YouGov’s Head of International Political Research, said: “While the Greens are not projected to win any seats in the city, they come second in 31 and are clearly building a following in the capital.”Labour’s popularity has risen under new Prime Minister Andy BurnhamPA WireThe survey is MRP research (multi-level regression and post-stratification) which is based on large-scale polling of sections of society and extrapolating to get constituency level results.While the findings will be a blow to the Greens they have limited read-across to the Holborn and St Pancras by-election as MRP polling does not take into account the fact that Mr Polanski is a high-profile candidate or specific local factors.The Tories would win back six seats that they lost to Labour just over two years ago, according to the survey.They include Chelsea and Fulham, Cities of London and Westminster, Finchley and Golders Green, Hendon, Kensington and Bayswater, and Uxbridge and South Ruislip.But Labour would hold on in previously Conservative areas of Chipping Barnet, Putney and Battersea.Zack Polanski campaigning in Holborn and St PancrasAFP/GettyRead MoreReform UK would gain two seats from the Tories, Romford where MP Andrew Rosindell defected from the Conservatives to Nigel Farage’s party, as well as Hornchurch and Upminister.It would also win Bexleyheath and Crayford, as well as Dagenham and Rainham from Labour.Overall, Labour is projected to win 51 of the capital’s 75 seats on current voting intentions, a loss of eight.The Conservatives would be up four to 13, the Liberal Democrats would retain the six they currently hold, and Reform would end up with four.However, Mr Farage’s party may struggle to achieve such a breakthrough given that it failed to gain control of Barking and Dagenham Council from Labour and Bexley from the Tories at the May local elections.Jeremy Corbyn would retain the Islington North seatGettyDuring Sir Keir’s premiership, Mr Farage appeared to be heading to No10.The Lib Dems would be on 71 seats, the Scottish National Party 40, Plaid Cymru 15 and the Greens nine.Such an outcome would make it very hard to form a stable Government as it would require several parties to work together to get a Commons majority, over 325.The results could also change dramatically as 37% of the constituencies were decided by margins of five points or less.* The polling uses data from nearly 17,000 Britons in fieldwork from 23 August to 18 September 2026

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