Election 2026: Herald-Motu Poll of polls suggests overhang, Opportunity could decide winner

Analysis byChris KnoxInvestigative data journalist·NZ Herald·6 Nov, 2026 04:26 AM3 mins to readChris Knox is an investigative data journalist for the New Zealand Herald.‌Katie Bradford takes a look back at the 2026 campaign as it comes to an end.Two unpredictable “O”s look likely to decide tomorrow’s election – Opportunity and overhang.After six weeks of nonstop campaigning, neither the left nor the right bloc of parties will have enough party votes to secure a majority in Parliament, according to the Herald-Motu Poll of polls model. The model