Buccaneers vs. Cowboys predictions price analysis on Kalshi for TNF tonight (Oct. 8)

Thursday Night Football heads to the Lone Star State in NFL Week 5 when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers face the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium.The Cowboys moved to 2-2 on Sunday with a thrilling victory over the Houston Texans, while the Buccaneers are still searching for their first win. Tampa Bay QB Baker Mayfield will miss tonight’s game with a thumb injury, giving undrafted rookie QB Jalon Daniels a second consecutive start.Traders at the best prediction markets aren’t showing much faith in the winless Buccaneers. The Cowboys are trading at 80% in Kalshi’s game-winner market, and Dallas is a 7.5-point favorite. Keep reading to see the updated Kalshi NFL prediction prices for Thursday Night Football.NOTE: The Kalshi prices listed below were accurate at the time of writing and are subject to change.Kalshi NFL prediction prices for Buccaneers vs. CowboysMarketOutcomePriceGame winnerBuccaneers$0.21Cowboys$0.80Point spreadCowboys win by over 7.5 points$0.52Cowboys win by less than 7.5 points$0.49Point totalOver 47.5 points scored$0.51Under 47.5 points scored$0.50Buccaneers vs. Cowboys point spread prices Why the Cowboys could cover as 7.5-point favoritesPrice: $0.52Fading the Buccaneers has been extremely profitable. Since Week 9 of the 2025 season, Tampa Bay is 0-13 against the spread (ATS) and 2-11 straight up (SU).The opposite has been true for the Cowboys through Week 4. Dallas is 3-1 ATS after covering in three straight games.The Cowboys’ defense has struggled, but brighter days may be ahead as newly acquired CB Joey Porter Jr. receives more playing time. The former Pittsburgh Steeler played 25 snaps against the Texans last week, and his workload should increase now that he’s listed as a starter on the depth chart.Porter Jr. is one of the NFL’s top cover cornerbacks, despite tallying only three interceptions since being drafted in 2023. Dallas’ secondary has gotten torched this season, and the unit should look much better as Porter Jr. gets comfortable with his new team.Coach Brian Schottenheimer’s defense is looking for answers, but the offense doesn’t need to change a thing. The Cowboys have the second-best scoring offense, and QB Dak Prescott has thrown for eight touchdowns and one interception.Dallas can’t take its foot off the gas if it’s going to cover the 7.5-point spread. However, Tampa Bay has one of the NFL’s worst offenses, so the Cowboys don’t need to light up the scoreboard to win by eight points or more.Why the Buccaneers could cover as 7.5-point underdogsPrice: $0.49Short rest can lead to surprising results on Thursday Night Football. In fact, underdogs have won outright in back-to-back Thursday games, including the Atlanta Falcons’ win over the Green Bay Packers and the Cleveland Browns’ triumph against the Steelers.The Buccaneers offense looked flat in the first three games of the season when Mayfield was healthy. Mayfield missed Week 4 with a dislocated thumb, and the offense took another step back in a 17-14 loss to the Packers.Tampa Bay ran for 141 yards, but Daniels was held to 148 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. The Bucs will need a better performance from Daniels to cover the spread, but they should have no trouble pounding the rock against a Cowboys defense that surrenders 150.3 rushing yards per game (second-most in the NFL). Third-year RB Bucky Irving leads Tampa Bay with 241 rushing yards, and Daniels scampered for 55 yards on Sunday. This is Daniels’ first road start in the NFL, and the Buccaneers’ run game must produce to make life easier for the rookie.Buccaneers vs. Cowboys point total prices Why over 47.5 points could hitPrice: $0.51Dallas’ lackluster defense and high-powered offense have led to non-stop scoring. The over has cashed in 10 consecutive Cowboys games dating back to last season.Prescott’s favorite target, WR CeeDee Lamb, had a record-setting performance in Week 4. Lamb reeled in 17 passes for 189 yards and caught the game-winning touchdown. He leads the league with 489 receiving yards and now faces a Buccaneers’ defense with multiple players on the injury report, including FS Antoine Winfield Jr., CB Benjamin Morrison, LB Josiah Trotter and three others.It’s been tough sledding for the Cowboys defense under rookie coordinator Christian Parker. Dallas is surrendering 389.5 yards and 28 points per game. Both figures rank in the bottom five across NFL defenses.The Buccaneers haven’t been able to spark chunk plays in the first four games, but that could finally change tonight. Playmakers like Irving, WR Emeka Egbuka and WR Chris Godwin Jr. are bound to have breakout games at some point, and Dallas’ defense can’t stop a nosebleed.Why under 47.5 points could hitPrice: $0.50Considering how bad the Buccaneers have been offensively, cashing the under comes down to Tampa Bay’s ability to limit Dallas’ explosive offense. Tampa Bay doesn’t have a dominant defense, but the unit has given the team a chance to win in all four games. The Buccaneers have yet to lose by more than seven points, and they’ve allowed 21 points per game since Week 2. With DT Vita Vea plugging the running lanes, the Bucs are one of five teams to allow one rushing touchdown or fewer this season. The Cowboys’ rushing attack ranks 25th in yards per game, but RB Javonte Williams already has five touchdowns. The Buccaneers can make this a low-scoring affair if they contain Williams in the red zone.RELATED: Is Kalshi legal in Texas? Check out the prediction market’s legal status in the Lone Star State.How Kalshi works for Buccaneers vs. CowboysThe Commodity Futures Trading Commission regulates Kalshi as a peer-to-peer financial exchange. Kalshi trading is legal in more than 40 states, including many jurisdictions that haven’t legalized sports betting.Since Kalshi isn’t a sportsbook, the site doesn’t offer American odds such as -110 or +250. Instead, Kalshi displays trading markets with prices and probabilities, and the figures are directly correlated.For example, Dallas is trading at $0.80 in the game-winner market, meaning it has an 80% chance of winning. Traders can back the Cowboys by purchasing their “Yes” contracts. Winning predictions settle at $1, giving you a $0.20 profit if Dallas improves to 3-2.All Kalshi contracts cost $0.01 to $0.99, creating a low barrier to entry for traders of all bankrolls. Purchasing multiple contracts increases the potential payout.The Kalshi promo code ALCOM unlocks a variable bonus up to $2,000 if you place $25 in trades within seven days. New users can click the banner below to sign up.NOTE: Event contract trading involves risk of substantial loss and is not suitable for all investors. Prediction market content is not intended for individuals in jurisdictions where it is prohibited.Buccaneers vs Cowboys predictions price analysis for Thursday Night Football on PolymarketProphetX NFL prediction prices for Thursday Night Football: Public backing Cowboys over BucsKalshi Promo Code AL55 activates $55 trading bonus for Buccaneers vs. Cowboys predictions on TNFKalshi Promo Code ALCOM: Up to $2,000 new bonus for MLB Playoffs (Oct. 7)Polymarket Promo Code ALCOM: Get a $25 bonus for MLB PlayoffsIf you purchase a product or register for an account through a link on our site, we may receive compensation. By using this site, you consent to our User Agreement and agree that your clicks, interactions, and personal information may be collected, recorded, and/or stored by us and social media and other third-party partners in accordance with our Privacy Policy.