Bears-Falcons odds at Novig: How Caleb Williams’ potential return has moved the line

Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) runs with the football during the second half of an NFL football game against the Minnesota Vikings in Chicago, Sunday, Sept. 20, 2026. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)AP Photo/Nam Y. HuhBy Garrett Kerman | Special CorrespondantCaleb Williams’ possible return could become the biggest factor in Novig’s Week 6 NFL predictions as Chicago prepares to visit Atlanta. The Bears are 3-2 after a 31-7 loss to Green Bay, while the Falcons sit at 2-3 following an overtime defeat against Baltimore. Claim the Novig promo code ALCOM and claim $50 in bonus trading credits when you deposit $10.Williams has missed three games with a Grade 2 hamstring strain, though recent progress has created optimism that he could play Sunday. Chicago’s backup quarterbacks committed four turnovers in Week 5, so confirmation that Williams will start could strengthen support for Bears moneyline, spread and team scoring markets.Atlanta also has uncertainty at quarterback after Michael Penix Jr. suffered a rib injury against the Ravens. With both starters being monitored, practice reports and final injury designations could move Novig prices throughout the week.Bears vs. Falcons prediction market prices for Week 6BearsFalconsMoneyline62%38%Spread-3.5 (47%)+3.5 (54%)TotalOver 49.5 (47%)Under 49.5 (54%)Chicago enters Week 6 as the clear market favorite, with Bears moneyline contracts priced at 62% and Atlanta at 38%. The gap reflects the teams’ early records, with the Bears at 3-2 and the Falcons at 2-3 entering Sunday’s game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.The spread market is closer. Atlanta +3.5 is priced at 54%, while Chicago -3.5 sits at 47%. The Bears are coming off a 31-7 loss to Green Bay, though Caleb Williams could return after missing three games with a hamstring injury. Chicago went 2-1 without him, but his availability could move both the moneyline and spread prices before kickoff.Atlanta has its own quarterback concern after Michael Penix Jr. injured his ribs during a 30-23 overtime loss to Baltimore. The Falcons are optimistic he can play, but his status will depend on how he progresses in practice.Under 49.5 holds a 54% price compared with 47% for Over 49.5. Both offenses rely heavily on the ground game, with Chicago totaling 866 rushing yards and Atlanta producing 834 through five games. That style could shorten the game and help explain the market’s slight preference for the under.Our prediction market guide explains how contract prices work. You can also compare the best prediction markets available this season.Trading on Bears vs. Falcons prediction marketsThe Novig prediction markets allow fans to trade on possible outcomes for Sunday’s matchup, including the winner, point spread and total. Prices can move throughout the week as news on whether Caleb Williams will play or not, injury reports and other updates affect expectations for the game.Traders are not required to keep a contract until the final whistle. If a price rises after a favorable development, you can sell your position to lock in a return. You can also leave a trade that is losing value, add shares to a position or hold it through the game.Contracts tied to the correct result settle at $1.00 per share, while contracts on an incorrect outcome settle at zero. Review the market rules and settlement terms before making a trade.How Novig works for Bears vs. Falcons prediction marketsNovig promo code ALCOM gets you $50 in bonus trading credits when you deposit $10+.AL.comNovig is a sports prediction market where users trade contracts tied to game results, player performances and other outcomes rather than placing a traditional sportsbook bet. For Bears vs. Falcons, prices can change as Caleb Williams’ injury news and other updates shape expectations before kickoff.For example, a Bears win contract priced at $0.62 costs 62 cents per share. If Chicago wins, the contract settles at $1.00, creating a $0.38 return per contract before fees. If Atlanta wins, the contract settles at zero.New users can enter Novig promo code ALCOM to receive a $50 bonus after making a $10 deposit.FeatureWhat it meansOrderbookList of buy and sell offers where traders post their desired price and size.Common Novig US termsConcepts like YES/NO shares, expiration, resolution source, and markets.Prediction markets vs sportsbooksTraders set prices by trading with each other, not by betting against a house.Equivalent odds to pricesA price like 0.62 (62) implies a 62% chance and is a traditional -163 oddsNote: Prediction markets should be used for entertainment purposes in a fun, responsible manner. Trading is risky and is not suitable for all investors. 100% loss can occur. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Participation in prediction markets is subject to applicable eligibility requirements. Participation may be restricted or prohibited in certain jurisdictions and participants are responsible for ensuring their participation complies with applicable laws and regulations in their jurisdiction. Prediction markets content is not intended for individuals located in jurisdictions where they are prohibited. 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