2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions by model that's nailed 17 majors

This page may contain affiliate links. If you click and sign up, make a deposit, or place a wager, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. SportsLine's model simulated the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026 10,000 times and revealed surprising picks for the first event in the 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs Aug 11, 2026 at 8:05 pm ET • 3 min read Imagn Images The 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs begin on Thursday with the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tenn. The top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings will be in the field this week, with the top 50 from this no-cut event advancing to the BMW Championship. The purse is $20 million and points are quadrupled compared to standard PGA events, so the standings can shift dramatically based on the outcome. Visit our DraftKings promo code review and get $150 in bonus bets instantly when you bet $5:Scottie Scheffler is the favorite this week at +480 (risk $100 to win $480) in the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Other top PGA contenders this week include Rory McIlroy (+1300), Cameron Young (+2000), Xander Schauffele and Sam Burns (+2000). Before locking in any 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, be sure to see the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.Paramount+ Premium is now included with every SportsLine membership! Watch the NFL on CBS, UFC, select PGA events, Champions League and more than 40,000 episodes and movies. Join right here to get both for one low price.SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable. This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. Now that the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.New to sports trading? Visit our Kalshi promo code review and get up to a $500 trading bonus for new users with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS:2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions One major surprise the model is calling for: Schauffele, one of the favorites at +2000, doesn't even crack the top 10. Schauffele finished second at the Rocket Classic a couple weeks back, but that was his first top-10 finish since May. He's also winless during the 2026 PGA Tour schedule. He finished T2 at this event in 2024, though he hasn't finished inside the top 20 in any of his three other appearances, so the model doesn't like him at these lower odds this week. See who else to fade here. Another surprise: The model is high on Sam Burns at +2000, saying he's a top-3 contender. Burns has been right on the doorstep at some of the biggest events of the year, finishing T7 or better at the Masters, the Memorial, the U.S. Open and the Open Championship. He ranks 12th on tour in the strokes gained: total and third in strokes gained: putting, both metrics that make him a top contender at TPC Southwind this week. See who else to pick here. How to make 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picksThe model is also targeting a massive longshot of higher than +3000 to make a strong run up the leaderboard. You can only see the model's picks here. Who will win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, fieldGet full 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)Scottie Scheffler +480Rory McIlroy +1300Cameron Young +2000Sam Burns +2000Xander Schauffele +2000Collin Morikawa +2200Tommy Fleetwood +2200Hideki Matsuyama +2500Ludvig Åberg +2700Matt Fitzpatrick +2700Justin Thomas +2700Viktor Hovland +3300Chris Gotterup +3300Patrick Cantlay +3300Si Woo Kim +3300Russell Henley +3500Jackson Koivun +4000Ryan Gerard +4500Robert MacIntyre +4500Wyndham Clark +4500Tom Kim +4500Michael Brennan +4500J.J. Spaun +4500Min Woo Lee +5500Michael Thorbjornsen +5500Ben Griffin +5500Kurt Kitayama +6000Maverick McNealy +6000Rickie Fowler +6000Akshay Bhatia +6000Justin Rose +6500Aaron Rai +6500Alex Fitzpatrick +6500Sungjae Im +7000Bud Cauley +8000Shane Lowry +8000Alex Smalley +8000Alex Noren +8000Jacob Bridgeman +8000Keith Mitchell +8000Corey Conners +10000Ryan Fox +10000Jordan Spieth +10000Eric Cole +10000Nicolai Højgaard +10000Harris English +10000J.T. Poston +10000Jake Knapp +10000Jordan Smith +10000Kristoffer Reitan +10000Adam Scott +10000Gary Woodland +10000Ryo Hisatsune +12500Brian Harman +12500Michael Kim +12500Sahith Theegala +12500Harry Hall +12500Nico Echavarria +12500Sepp Straka +15000Matt McCarty +17500Ricky Castillo +17500Max Homa +17500Nick Taylor +17500Sudarshan Yellamaraju +22500Samuel Stevens +22500Matti Schmid +25000Pierceson Coody +25000Aldrich Potgieter +50000Patrick Rodgers +75000