2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions by model that's nailed 17 majors

SportsLine's model simulated the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026 10,000 times and revealed surprising picks for the first event in the 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs Aug 10, 2026 at 3:23 pm ET • 3 min read Imagn Images The 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs begin on Thursday with the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tenn. The top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings will be in the field this week, with the top 50 from this no-cut event advancing to the BMW Championship. The purse is $20 million and points are quadrupled compared to standard PGA events, so the standings can shift dramatically based on the outcome. Scottie Scheffler, who is atop the points leaderboard, is also the favorite this week at +500 (risk $100 to win $500) in the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Other top PGA contenders this week include Rory McIlroy (+1200), Xander Schauffele (+1800) and Tommy Fleetwood (+2000). Before locking in any 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, be sure to see the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.Paramount+ Premium is now included with every SportsLine membership! Watch the NFL on CBS, UFC, select PGA events, Champions League and more than 40,000 episodes and movies. Join right here to get both for one low price.SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable. This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. Now that the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.Visit our DraftKings promo code review to see their latest offers and get started.2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions One major surprise the model is calling for: Schauffele, who has the third-lowest odds this week at +1800, doesn't even crack the top 10. Schauffele finished second at the Rocket Classic a couple weeks back, but that was his first top-10 finish since May. He's also winless during the 2026 PGA Tour schedule. He finished T2 at this event in 2024, though he hasn't finished inside the top 20 in any of his three other appearances, so the model doesn't like him at these lower odds this week. See who else to fade here. Another surprise: The model is high on Sam Burns at +2200, saying he's a top-3 contender. Burns has been right on the doorstep at some of the biggest events of the year, finishing T7 or better at the Masters, the Memorial, the U.S. Open and the Open Championship. He ranks 12th on tour in the strokes gained: total and third in strokes gained: putting, both metrics that make him a top contender at TPC Southwind this week. See who else to pick here. New to sports trading? Visit our Kalshi promo code review to see their latest offers and get started. How to make 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picksThe model is also targeting a massive longshot of higher than +3000 to make a strong run up the leaderboard. You can only see the model's picks here. Who will win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, fieldGet full 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)Scottie Scheffler +500Rory McIlroy +1200Xander Schauffele +1800Tommy Fleetwood +2000Collin Morikawa +2200Hideki Matsuyama +2200Cameron Young +2200Matt Fitzpatrick +2200Sam Burns +2200Ludvig Åberg +2700Russell Henley +3300Chris Gotterup +3300Patrick Cantlay +3300Si Woo Kim +3300Viktor Hovland +3500Robert MacIntyre +4000Wyndham Clark +4000Jackson Koivun +4000Justin Thomas +4000Tom Kim +4500Justin Rose +5000Min Woo Lee +5000J.J. Spaun +5000Michael Brennan +5500Ben Griffin +5500Kurt Kitayama +6000Maverick McNealy +6000Michael Thorbjornsen +6000Ryan Gerard +6500Nicolai Højgaard +6500Kristoffer Reitan +6500Shane Lowry +7000Jacob Bridgeman +7000Rickie Fowler +7000Jake Knapp +7000Akshay Bhatia +7000Alex Smalley +8000Alex Noren +8000Keith Mitchell +8000Adam Scott +8000Bud Cauley +10000Aaron Rai +10000Corey Conners +10000Ryan Fox +10000Jordan Spieth +10000Sahith Theegala +10000Harry Hall +10000Harris English +10000Sungjae Im +10000Alex Fitzpatrick +10000Jordan Smith +10000Gary Woodland +10000Brian Harman +12500Michael Kim +12500Eric Cole +12500Ryo Hisatsune +15000Max Homa +15000Nico Echavarria +15000Matt McCarty +17500Ricky Castillo +17500Nick Taylor +17500J.T. Poston +17500Sepp Straka +17500Sudarshan Yellamaraju +22500Samuel Stevens +22500Pierceson Coody +25000Aldrich Potgieter +35000Matti Schmid +35000Patrick Rodgers +75000