2026 Big Ten Title Odds: UCLA and Oregon surge as Ohio State falls in Polymarket odds

10 weeks into the 2026 college football season, a new Polymarket prediction market lists three Big Ten football teams with 10% or greater odds to win the Big Ten Championship. Coming off a bye-week, Indiana remains the Big Ten favorite. The Hoosiers now boast 45% odds to repeat as champions, up 6% from last week. They sit ahead of UCLA (29%) and Oregon (13%), who have the second and third best odds. Ohio State, which suffered its second consecutive loss on Saturday, now sits at 6% odds (fourth-best in conference). That’s down 41% from just two weeks ago, when the Buckeyes were the favorites. $39.99 gets you a FULL year of On3 | Rivals national coverage Given the evolving nature of prediction markets, Polymarket’s national title odds will continue to fluctuate over the next month of games before the Big Ten Champion is crowned on Saturday, Dec. 5 in Indianapolis. With that in mind, here are Polymarket’s current Big Ten Championship odds. 1. Indiana Hoosiers – 45% Last Big Ten Championship: 2025 Coming off a much-needed bye, Indiana‘s Big Ten Championship odds have risen from 39% to 45% this week. That is due, in the most part, to Ohio State‘s massive drop-off in the odds after back-to-back losses. Since Indiana‘s loss to the Buckeyes on Oct. 17, the Hoosiers have escaped with close victories over Michigan and Minnesota. Looking ahead at Indiana‘s final three regular season games, the Hoosiers are currently slated to face No. 20 USC, Washington, and Purdue. Those three teams boast a combined 8-8 record against Big Ten competition this season. Since head coach Curt Cignetti took over the program in 2024, Indiana is 20-0 against unranked conference opponents. 2. UCLA Bruins – 29% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A UCLA, one of the best stories in all of college football, improved to 9-0 on the season thanks to its 34-20 victory over Minnesota on Saturday. The Bruins are 9-0 to open the year for the first time since 1998, when they started 10-0 before falling in their regular season finale against Miami. Their Big Ten Title odds jumped from 22% to 29% this week, good for second-best in the conference. There is now serious optimism that the Bruins could very well be playing in their first Big Ten Championship Game in the final year of the event taking place. UCLA‘s final three games are to be played against Illinois, Michigan, and No. 20 USC. 3. Oregon Ducks – 13% Last Big Ten Championship: 2024 Just three weeks ago, it seemed as if Oregon‘s season was completely dead following its 21-10 loss to Illinois. Since that loss, however, the Ducks have bounced back strong with back-to-back ranked wins over No. 20 Northwestern and No. 12 Ohio State. Oregon now sits at 6-3 on the season heading into its final three games against Michigan, Michigan State, and Washington. Even if Dan Lanning‘s team were to win out and finish at 9-3 on the season, it would likely have to sneak into the Big Ten Championship Game and win to secure a CFP berth. In order for this to happen, it would need some help with losses from teams such as Indiana, UCLA, Ohio State, USC, and Illinois. Not completely out of the realm of possibility, but still a bit of a long shot. 4. Ohio State Buckeyes – 6% Last Big Ten Championship: 2020 In just the span of two weeks, Ohio State‘s Big Ten Championship odds have dropped from 47% to 6%. That comes after the Buckeyes have dropped back-to-back games to USC and No. 23 Oregon. Ohio State has lost back-to-back regular season games for the first time since 2011, complicating its hopes for a third-consecutive College Football Playoff appearance. Ohio State will close out the regular season against Northwestern, Nebraska, and Michigan. A loss to either of those three teams would also ensure the Buckeyes’ first four-loss season since 2011, when they finished at 6-7 under interim head coach Luke Fickell. 5. USC Trojans – 5% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A USC scored THE defining win of the Lincoln Riley era two weeks ago, knocking off then-No. 2 Ohio State in Los Angeles 30-18. It marked the program’s first victory over a No. 2-ranked opponent since 2004, when the Trojans dominated No. 2 Oklahoma 55-19 in the BCS National Championship Game. That win, however, was later vacated. It appeared as if the sky was falling at USC following its 24-7 loss to Wisconsin the week prior, but it now seems as if the program could very well round out a nice season. Its remaining games will come against No. 4 Indiana, Maryland, and No. 8 UCLA. If the Trojans were to win out and finish at 10-2 with wins over three Top 10-ranked Big Ten opponents, there’s no doubt they could find their way into the College Football Playoff. 6. Iowa Hawkeyes – 4% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A Iowa has bounced back from its stunning 13-10 road loss at Minnesota three weeks ago with back-to-back quality wins over No. 25 Wisconsin and Northwestern. Kirk Ferentz‘s program now heads into the final stretch of the season with a 7-2 record. There is certainly an interesting scenario in play for the Hawkeyes, which are slated to face three unranked conference opponents (Purdue, Illinois, and Nebraska) over their final three games. If Iowa were to end the season on a five-game win streak, putting them at 10-2, it would certainly be in the conversation for a CFP bid. 7. Wisconsin Badgers – 2% Last Big Ten Championship: 2012 Luke Fickell and the Wisconsin Badgers desperately needed a strong season in 2026, and they’ve delivered. The Badgers improved to 6-3 with its dominant 31-10 win over Rutgers on Saturday. In his first game as Wisconsin‘s starting quarterback due to Colton Joseph‘s injury, freshman Ryan Hopkins passed for 241 yards and three touchdowns. With four games remaining (Maryland, Minnesota, Purdue, and the bowl game), Wisconsin could very well hit the nine-win mark for the first time since 2021 if it wins three of four. The Badgers had failed to clinch bowl eligibility in each of the past two seasons, but that streak will come to a halt this season. T8. Illinois Fighting Illini – 1% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A After opening the season with a disappointing 2-3 record, Illinois has been on a tear over the last month. In this span, the Illini are 4-0 with wins over Michigan State, Oregon, Maryland, and Nebraska. Bret Bielema‘s program now sits at 6-3 on the season heading into the home stretch, with regular season games against No. 8 UCLA, No. 19 Iowa, and Northwestern remaining. Although it appeared as if Illinois‘ streak of nine-win seasons was in jeopardy, it can extend that streak to three consecutive seasons with wins in three of its final four games. In the history of Illinois football, it has never recorded three-straight nine-plus win seasons. T8. Minnesota Golden Gophers – 1% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A Since Minnesota secured its marquee 13-10 victory over No. 15 Iowa on Oct. 24, the Golden Gophers have dropped back-to-back games for the first time this season. However, both games did come against the top-two teams in the Big Ten (No. 4 Indiana and No. 8 UCLA). P.J. Fleck‘s program will close out the regular season with matchups against Penn State, Northwestern, and Wisconsin. Sitting at 5-4 on the year, the Gophers must win one of their three remaining regular season games to clinch bowl eligibility. Minnesota has won nine consecutive bowl games dating back to 2015, which is the longest active streak in the FBS. T8. Northwestern Wildcats – 1% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A After opening the season with a 6-1 record, which propelled them to No. 20 in the AP Poll, Northwestern has dropped back-to-back games. Those losses have come to Oregon and No. 19 Iowa. The Wildcats’ difficult end to the regular season will continue this weekend, when they travel to Columbus for a showdown with Ohio State. The Buckeyes have also dropped back-to-back conference games, meaning one of the two teams is heading towards a three-game skid. Northwestern is seeking its second eight-win campaign in four seasons under head coach David Braun. Teams 10-18 T8. Michigan Wolverines – 1%T8. Nebraska Cornhuskers – 1%T8. Penn State Nittany Lions – 1%T8. Purdue Boilermakers – 1%T8. Washington Huskies – 1%T16. Maryland Terrapins – 0%T16. Michigan State Spartans – 0%T16. Rutgers Scarlet Knights – 0%