2026 Big 12 Title Odds: Utah remains sizable Polymarket favorite following Holy War win over BYU

10 weeks into the 2026 college football season, a new Polymarket prediction market lists just two teams with 10% or greater odds to win the Big 12 Championship. Following its 28-20 win over BYU in the ‘Holy War’, Utah remains the Big 12 favorite with 50% odds. The Utes, soon-to-be ranked No. 2 in this week’s College Football Playoff Rankings, are one of two remaining undefeated teams in college football (9-0). They sit ahead of Texas Tech (21%), BYU (8%) and Houston (8%), who have the second and third best odds. The Red Raiders dropped 53 points in a 53-48 shootout win over West Virginia Saturday night, and Houston held off Cincinnati 31-24 to secure a win over the Bearcats. $39.99 gets you a FULL year of On3 | Rivals national coverage Given the evolving nature of prediction markets, Polymarket’s national title odds will continue to fluctuate over the next month of games before the Big 12 Champion is crowned on Friday, Dec. 4 in Arlington. With that in mind, here are Polymarket’s current Big Ten Championship odds. 1. Utah Utes – 50% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A Utah improved to 9-0 on the season following its 28-20 win over No. 9 BYU in the ‘Holy War’ on Saturday. The Utes are 9-0 for the first time since 2008, when they finished at 13-0 on the season. They’ll now head into their final three regular season games, which will come against No. 22 Arizona, TCU, and West Virginia. Utah, which will be favored in all three games, can afford a loss and still clinch a berth in the Big 12 Championship Game. The Utes, which will likely be ranked No. 2 in this week’s College Football Playoff Rankings, are on the verge of reaching the CFP for the first time in program history. 2. Texas Tech Red Raiders – 21% Last Big Ten Championship: 2025 Texas Tech has bounced back nicely from its Week 8 loss to Cincinnati with wins over No. 22 Arizona (34-26) and West Virginia (53-48). Heading into their final three regular season games, the Red Raiders remain in the hunt for both their second consecutive Big 12 Championship and College Football Playoff appearance. The stellar play of quarterback Thomas Castellanos has provided a huge lift to the TTU offense. Across their past two wins, Castellanos has accrued 506 passing yards and seven touchdowns with no interceptions. He’s also hit the 100-yard rushing mark in both wins. Texas Tech is still looking to become the first back-to-back Big 12 Champion since Oklahoma won four in a row from 2017-2020. T3. BYU Cougars – 8% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A Since knocking off then-No. 2 ranked Notre Dame on Oct. 17, BYU is 1-2 in its last three games. That includes a 39-31 loss to now 5-4 UCF, a 27-20 win over Arizona State, and Saturday’s 28-20 loss to No. 3 Utah in the ‘Holy War’. BYU has been outscored 87-78 over its past three games. They now sit at 7-2 (4-2) on the season heading into their final three regular season games. The Cougars will be heavily rooting against Texas Tech and Utah down the stretch. BYU, however, can’t overlook its remaining three opponents (Baylor, Kansas, and Cincinnati). A loss, along with failure to at least appear in the Big 12 Championship Game, would likely dash the program’s CFP hopes. T3. Houston Cougars – 8% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A Houston seemed like it was on a path to becoming a potential College Football Playoff contender, as it had rattled off four consecutive wins after narrowly falling to then-No. 13 ranked Texas Tech 28-26 on Sept. 18. The Cougars jumped out on top of then-No. 10 ranked Utah 10-0 three weeks ago, but were unable to hold on for an upset win. They fell 21-13, suffering their second defeat of the season. Willie Fritz‘s team returned to the gridiron last Saturday against Cincinnati, where it came away with a 31-24 win. Houston, now sitting at 7-2 (4-2) on the season, will close out its 2026 campaign with three conference matchups against unranked opponents (Colorado, West Virginia, and Baylor). 5. Oklahoma State Cowboys – 6% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A Oklahoma State bounced back strong from its 51-49 loss to Iowa State two weeks ago with a dominant 66-28 win over Kansas State on Saturday. If the Cowboys defense played to the level of their offense, there’s no doubt the program could have been pushing for a College Football Playoff berth this season. Nonetheless, the Cowboys are still experiencing a successful first season under head coach Eric Morris. Especially, when you take into consideration the program went 4-20 over the past two seasons. Quarterback Drew Mestemaker has been tabbed one of the best quarterbacks in the sport, and one of the top quarterback prospects in the 2027 NFL Draft (if he decides to turn pro). The North Texas transfer boasts 2,962 passing yards (second-most in FBS) and 29 touchdowns (most in FBS) with eight interceptions this season. He’s hit the 300-yard passing mark in eight consecutive games. 6. Arizona Wildcats – 5% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A Arizona had been causing a ruckus in the Big 12 Conference since its mid-Sept. loss to then-No. 15 ranked BYU. Since that loss, the Wildcats had rattled off five consecutive wins and jumped to No. 22 in the AP Poll. That made last Saturday’s road game against No. 13 Texas Tech a massive one for Brent Brennan‘s program. The Wildcats, however, were not able to come out of Lubbock with the win. They fell 34-26, suffering their second defeat of the season. Brennan’s team was able to bounce back Friday night, however, holding off TCU 29-28 to improve to 7-2 (4-2) on the year. With four games remaining (including its bowl game), Arizona is seeking its third nine-plus win season in the past four years. 7. Baylor Bears – 4% Last Big Ten Championship: 2021 The interim head coach bump has worked out in a big way for Baylor, as it has knocked off UCF (41-9) and Iowa State (42-31) since parting ways with Dave Aranda. Baylor improved to 6-3 on Saturday and clinched bowl eligibility after winning just five games last season. As the program continues to search for its new head coach, interim head coach Joe Klanderman and the Bears will close out the season with games against No. 9 BYU, No. 15 Texas Tech, and No. 17 Houston. Certainly a tough slate for the program to round out the year. If it, however, could somehow win all three games, there’s a world the program miraculously slips into the Big 12 Championship/College Football Playoff. T8. Arizona State Sun Devils – 1% Last Big Ten Championship: 2024 Arizona State improved to 5-4 on the season following Saturday’s 20-10 win over Colorado. The Sun Devils have alternated wins and losses across all nine of their games this season. Kenny Dillingham‘s squad has put themselves in strong position to clinch bowl eligibility for the third consecutive year if they can win at least one of their final three regular season games against Oklahoma State, UCF, or No. 22 Arizona. If this season’s results hold for the Sun Devils, that would see them closing the year out with a loss to Oklahoma State, a win over UCF, and a loss to Arizona to settle at 6-6. T8. UCF Knights – 1% Last Big Ten Championship: N/A UCF bounced back from last Saturday’s 41-9 blowout loss to Baylor with a nail-biting 33-32 win over Kansas on Saturday. The Knights improved to 5-4 (3-3) on the season and are just one win away from clinching bowl eligibility. They will have a great opportunity to do so, as they round out the season with games against three unranked opponents in Arizona State, Iowa State, and Colorado. This season could mark the Knights’ first bowl game with Scott Frost leading the way since 2017, when they downed Auburn 34-27 in the Peach Bowl. Teams 9-16 T8. Cincinnati Bearcats – 1%T8. Iowa State Cyclones – 1%T8. TCU Horned Frogs – 1%T8. West Virginia Mountaineers – 1%T14. Colorado Buffaloes – 0%T14. Kansas State Wildcats – 0%T14. Kansas Jayhawks – 0%